Sunday, November 25, 2007

NFL Week 12 picks and the games I would actually bet on

  • Tennessee (-2) @ Cincinnati

Cincy has looked decent in it's last two games, specifically because of the return of Chris Henry. Tennessee is not an amazing team on paper, and if you look at their wins (Jax, NO, ATL, Hou, Oak, Car) they've only beaten good team (JAX) and that was when the human bowling ball still had his head up his ass. Believe me, I know how bad Cincy is, but I just think with Henry back in the lineup the Cincy crowd will get a Thanksgiving treat from the bungles.

  • Buffalo @ JAX (-9)

Jacksonville is too physical for Buffalo on offense, MJD should have a big day against a bills defense ranked 31st in the league. Lynch is out with an ankle injury which severely hinders the Bills ability to not lose yards on every play. Buffalo is a team that can surprise a lot of teams but I just don't see it happening this week.

  • Choakland @ KC (-5)

I would usually pick KC @ home, but I have this to think about: LJ is out, Priest Holmes decided it wasn't worth dying to play football, and the Chiefs used their hindsight to trade Michael Bennett to Tampa earlier this year. This all equates to Kolby Smith, a rookie from Louisville lining up as the Chiefs RB. The Raiders are talking about possibly putting Jamarcus into the game this week which would be interesting. The bottom line is I'm picking a good defense at home because both offensive lineups suck.

  • Houston @ Cleveland (-3.5)

This game scares me a little..did you know Houston has the 8th ranked offense in the league? Yeah me neither, nor did I know that they have the 6th best passing attack in the league. Now that Andre Johnson is back (120yds + TD last week) I think he is going to have a huge game against a horrible Browns defense.

  • Seattle (-3) @ STL

Seattle has two wins against San Fran and a win against Cincinnati and STL when they sucked. I think the Seahawks get introduced to the Rams who actually play Jackson and Bulger and get beat by 7.

  • Vikings @ Giants (-8)

Look for the Giants to air it out against the Vikings for two reasons, their backfield is banged up and Minnesota's pass defense blows. If you have Eli Manning, as much as I hate him because he is related to Peyton, you should play him against any defense that lets up 300yds through the air per week. There are two questions surrounding if this game will be close or not: 1: Is Purple Jesus playing & 2: Will the Giants stack 11 in the box to stop Minnesota? Everyone knows Minnesota sucks ass at passing, but if there is any coach who could pull a Norv Turner and keep 7 in the box against this team it's Tom Coughlin...By guess is Spagnuolo puts 9 in the box and the Giants beat them by 10.

  • Saints (-3) @ Panthers

Let it be known that this is probably the most unpredictable game of the week. New Orleans is so inconsistent that I could see them winning this game by 30 or losing it by thirty, against the Panthers. The Panthers are horrible, how horrible? They have one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, a decent running game and they've lost four straight and they're praying that a 44 year old QB is going to be healthy enough to start for them. On top of that, there is word around the team that Matt Moore could see playing time if David Carr struggles at all...who the f is Matt Moore?

  • Redskins @ Bucs (-3.5)

I hate the Redskins

  • 49ers @ Cardinals (-11)

The Cardinals are tough at home (3-1), playing against a team that I think might lose to the dolphins. I can't see the 49ers being closer then 2 TD's

  • Denver @ Chicago (-1)

Rex Grossman is back in the saddle. Perfect timing against one of the better secondaries in the league, let the booing commence. Interesting Note, Andre Hall is going to be starting for the Broncos today so keep an eye on him fantasy wise.

  • Baltimore @ SD (-9)

Steve McNair is out for this game, which most likely helps the Ravens...that's how bad they are. On a positive note, Ed Redd and Samari Rolle have been practicing this week and it looks like they'll play. I still don't think they will help a defense which has been giving up 30 points a game over their last three. Norv Turner, don't mess this up.

  • Eagles @ Pats (-25)

Pats at home against a McNabbless Birds squad, not by 25 points...they aren't the Bills.

  • Dolphins @ Steelers (-16)

Do I really need to defend this game? The Steelers walked into the Jets game thinking all they had to do was show up to win, I don't think that will happen this week...Joey Porter's back in town.

My Bets of the Week:

Teaser - JAX, Giants, Cardinals

Teaser - Cleveland (Over 46), Cardinals, SD, Pittsburgh [3:1 payout]

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