These are all Vegas Lines, my picks are bolded:
- Buffalo (-3) @ Miami
Name one player on Miami's offense that you think can win this game for them. I'll counter with Marshawn Lynch and Lee Evans (5 TD in his last 3 games @ Miami). Maybe it's time for Miami to think about bringing back Ray Finkle.
- Jacksonville @ Tennessee (-4)
This game is a tough one, Vince Young has hit a major sophomore slump this year, his top rushing performance is 54 yards and his top passing is 154, but god this kid just knows how to win. On top of that the Tennessee defense has been stellar (giving up a paltry 66 yards per game) and if David Garrard doesn't start good old Quinn Gray (who has a sparined ankle) will be throwing balls ten yards past every receiver on the field like he did against Indy two weeks ago.
Injury Note: David Garrard had a high ankle sprain two weeks ago and he practiced Wednesday he has the big Q for Sunday
- Denver @ Kansas City (-3)
Main question is can Priest Holmes light a fire under a team that averages 79.5 yards a game on the ground? If he does, this game is money in the bank at home for KC. The other question is how does Denver respond to getting the crap knocked out of them last week against Detroit 44-7. Bottom line is KC's ground game is HORRIBLE, they're going up against Bailey and Bly. On the other hand Denver's offense could very well be starting Ramsey and Selvin Young, get ready for a horrible game...Home team wins this one
Injury Notes: Larry Johnson out with foot injury, Jay Cutler's leg isn't broken in half...he might start, Mike Shanahan said Henry will play...some.
- Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (-9.5)
This is going to be one of two games: a close high scoring game, a blowout in the steelers favor. I'm going with the latter. Cleveland has been good thanks to the Derek Anderson/Braylon/Winslow connection, but their defense is allowing over 411 yards per game. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has a top ten offense (#2 Rushing attack), and drum roll please...the #1 D in the league. Oh yeah, forgot to mention, this season the Steelers have outscored opponents at home 122-26. Good luck Cleveland, you're going to need it.
- STL @ New Orleans (-11.5)
I'm only writing one sentence for this game, welcome to 0-9 STL.
- ATL @ Carolina (-4.5)
Vinny is going to start this week and he knows one thing, throw the ball to Steve Smith because he can win the game by himself. Atlanta sucks, I don't really have to defend this do I? On paper, this is actually a pretty close game so I'm giving the edge to the home team.
- PHL @ Washington (-3)
Philadelphia is a lost team right now, their city is blaming Donovan for all of their losses and the team continues to lose games they should be winning. If you look at the stats on paper, Philadelphia should win this game, their offense is better and their defense is only slightly worse than Washington's. An interesting thing is that Philly's starting safety Sean Considine is now out for the season and Quintin Mikell will be the new starter. Too bad Washington only runs or this might make a difference. I think momentum/home field advantage plays a huge role in this one and Washington pulls off a victory.
- Minnesota @ Green Bay (-6)
Minnesota - Can't do anything but run (30th in passing) which Green Bay can stop.
Green Bay - Can't do anything but pass, which Minnesota can't stop.
Who would have thought Green Bay would be 8-1 after nine games? Not me, I'll tell you that much.
- Cincinnati @ Baltimore (-4)
Did everyone else see Baltimore on Monday? To give you an example of how bad they were: 104 total yards on 51 plays, Steve was 16-31 for 40 yards an interception, he was sacked six times and he fumbled twice. Yeah, they were playing the best defense in football, but they were horrible. Even against the stingy Cincinnati defense I still don't think they can win. They just looked that bad. Baltimore's defense could keep this close, but I think Cincy pulls this one off. FYI: Chris Henry is also back this week.
- Chicago (-3.5) @ Oakland
Let it be known, Lane Kiffin will kick to Devin Hester. Chicago has a knack for staying in games, no matter if it's low scoring or high scoring they always somehow stay in it. I think Hester will make a big enough difference to allow Chicago to win this one.
- Dallas (-1) @ New York
Both of these defenses are mediocre, both of their offenses are loaded with offensive talent, watch out for a high scoring game. Even though Dallas on paper does have a slightly better defense I think the Giants pass rush is going to be up to the task in The Meadowlands. I give the edge to the home team in a close high scoring game. I can't believe I'm rooting for this loser
- Detroit @ Arizona (-1)
I can't believe this line, Detroit just blew out an (at the time) decent team in Denver and now they are underdogs in Arizona. I understand Fitz and Boldin can burn Detroit's secondary, but the Detroit Lions lead the league in takeaways with 24 (+8 differential) and the Cardinals are almost dead last with 9 (-9 differential). The front seven of Detroit has created seven fumbles which counts in as money against the fumble happy QB Kurt Warner, good night Arizona.
- Indy (-3.5) @ SD
Indy is going to get back on track in San Diego. Norv Turner 101: When your up seven points on a Minnesota team that has it's backup quarterback in the game and all they do is run, what should you do? Stack the box and run the shit out of L.T. is what anyone would say. Well Norv proceeded to run a 4-3, occassionally bring in eight into the box, and allow Purple Jesus to rack 296 yards rushing IN THE SECOND HALF. On top of this, L.T. rushed the ball three times in the second half. THREE TIMES? What in gods name is he thinking, bring back Marty.
- San Fran @ Seattle (-10)
San Fran, you've lost 6 straight and you've won your two games by a combined 4 points. Good thing Mike Nolan was worried about wearing suits in the off season rather than getting his team ready to play football. Don't get me wrong Seattle isn't good and Alexander is day-to-day but maybe it will help that he's out. Seattle is good enough to win by ten at home against one of the worst teams in the NFL.
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