
Fuck you Comcast, I hope your accounting staff starts smoking joints with you balance sheets.
If you travel a lot for work, you may want to watch this video I just was forwarded in an email...
Useless, but fun to look at nonetheless...
Cincy has looked decent in it's last two games, specifically because of the return of Chris Henry. Tennessee is not an amazing team on paper, and if you look at their wins (Jax, NO, ATL, Hou, Oak, Car) they've only beaten good team (JAX) and that was when the human bowling ball still had his head up his ass. Believe me, I know how bad Cincy is, but I just think with Henry back in the lineup the Cincy crowd will get a Thanksgiving treat from the bungles.
Jacksonville is too physical for Buffalo on offense, MJD should have a big day against a bills defense ranked 31st in the league. Lynch is out with an ankle injury which severely hinders the Bills ability to not lose yards on every play. Buffalo is a team that can surprise a lot of teams but I just don't see it happening this week.
I would usually pick KC @ home, but I have this to think about: LJ is out, Priest Holmes decided it wasn't worth dying to play football, and the Chiefs used their hindsight to trade Michael Bennett to Tampa earlier this year. This all equates to Kolby Smith, a rookie from Louisville lining up as the Chiefs RB. The Raiders are talking about possibly putting Jamarcus into the game this week which would be interesting. The bottom line is I'm picking a good defense at home because both offensive lineups suck.
This game scares me a little..did you know Houston has the 8th ranked offense in the league? Yeah me neither, nor did I know that they have the 6th best passing attack in the league. Now that Andre Johnson is back (120yds + TD last week) I think he is going to have a huge game against a horrible Browns defense.
Seattle has two wins against San Fran and a win against Cincinnati and STL when they sucked. I think the Seahawks get introduced to the Rams who actually play Jackson and Bulger and get beat by 7.
Look for the Giants to air it out against the Vikings for two reasons, their backfield is banged up and Minnesota's pass defense blows. If you have Eli Manning, as much as I hate him because he is related to Peyton, you should play him against any defense that lets up 300yds through the air per week. There are two questions surrounding if this game will be close or not: 1: Is Purple Jesus playing & 2: Will the Giants stack 11 in the box to stop Minnesota? Everyone knows Minnesota sucks ass at passing, but if there is any coach who could pull a Norv Turner and keep 7 in the box against this team it's Tom Coughlin...By guess is Spagnuolo puts 9 in the box and the Giants beat them by 10.
Let it be known that this is probably the most unpredictable game of the week. New Orleans is so inconsistent that I could see them winning this game by 30 or losing it by thirty, against the Panthers. The Panthers are horrible, how horrible? They have one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, a decent running game and they've lost four straight and they're praying that a 44 year old QB is going to be healthy enough to start for them. On top of that, there is word around the team that Matt Moore could see playing time if David Carr struggles at all...who the f is Matt Moore?
I hate the Redskins
The Cardinals are tough at home (3-1), playing against a team that I think might lose to the dolphins. I can't see the 49ers being closer then 2 TD's
Rex Grossman is back in the saddle. Perfect timing against one of the better secondaries in the league, let the booing commence. Interesting Note, Andre Hall is going to be starting for the Broncos today so keep an eye on him fantasy wise.
Steve McNair is out for this game, which most likely helps the Ravens...that's how bad they are. On a positive note, Ed Redd and Samari Rolle have been practicing this week and it looks like they'll play. I still don't think they will help a defense which has been giving up 30 points a game over their last three. Norv Turner, don't mess this up.
Pats at home against a McNabbless Birds squad, not by 25 points...they aren't the Bills.
Do I really need to defend this game? The Steelers walked into the Jets game thinking all they had to do was show up to win, I don't think that will happen this week...Joey Porter's back in town.
My Bets of the Week:
Teaser - JAX, Giants, Cardinals
Teaser - Cleveland (Over 46), Cardinals, SD, Pittsburgh [3:1 payout]
I know an away team favored is usually solmewhat of a trap game to bet on, but I really like Green Bay in this one. Main reason is Detroits pass defense is 30th and Green Bay's pass offense is 2nd in the league. Also, Detroit hasn't won a Thanksgiving game since 2003 and Green Bay has the last five last games against the spread, sounds good to me. The over is sitting @ 47 and if I had to, I would parlay Green Bay and the over.
I know all of the Jets fans are pumped because they pulled one on the Steelers last week, but I don't think that's happening again. They played a team last week that walked into New York thinking they were going to snag a win just by showing up. Cowboys roll on the Jets, T.O. scores five touchdowns...
Jesus Christo what the fuck happened to the Colts, lost two straight against the spread and have been very unimpressive if you ask me. Too bad Atlanta fuckin blows, you'd have to conjure up a pretty impressive pre-game story for me to not see Indy winning by two touchdowns.
These are all Vegas Lines, my picks are bolded:
Name one player on Miami's offense that you think can win this game for them. I'll counter with Marshawn Lynch and Lee Evans (5 TD in his last 3 games @ Miami). Maybe it's time for Miami to think about bringing back Ray Finkle.
This game is a tough one, Vince Young has hit a major sophomore slump this year, his top rushing performance is 54 yards and his top passing is 154, but god this kid just knows how to win. On top of that the Tennessee defense has been stellar (giving up a paltry 66 yards per game) and if David Garrard doesn't start good old Quinn Gray (who has a sparined ankle) will be throwing balls ten yards past every receiver on the field like he did against Indy two weeks ago.
Injury Note: David Garrard had a high ankle sprain two weeks ago and he practiced Wednesday he has the big Q for Sunday
Main question is can Priest Holmes light a fire under a team that averages 79.5 yards a game on the ground? If he does, this game is money in the bank at home for KC. The other question is how does Denver respond to getting the crap knocked out of them last week against Detroit 44-7. Bottom line is KC's ground game is HORRIBLE, they're going up against Bailey and Bly. On the other hand Denver's offense could very well be starting Ramsey and Selvin Young, get ready for a horrible game...Home team wins this one
Injury Notes: Larry Johnson out with foot injury, Jay Cutler's leg isn't broken in half...he might start, Mike Shanahan said Henry will play...some.
This is going to be one of two games: a close high scoring game, a blowout in the steelers favor. I'm going with the latter. Cleveland has been good thanks to the Derek Anderson/Braylon/Winslow connection, but their defense is allowing over 411 yards per game. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has a top ten offense (#2 Rushing attack), and drum roll please...the #1 D in the league. Oh yeah, forgot to mention, this season the Steelers have outscored opponents at home 122-26. Good luck Cleveland, you're going to need it.
I'm only writing one sentence for this game, welcome to 0-9 STL.
Vinny is going to start this week and he knows one thing, throw the ball to Steve Smith because he can win the game by himself. Atlanta sucks, I don't really have to defend this do I? On paper, this is actually a pretty close game so I'm giving the edge to the home team.
Philadelphia is a lost team right now, their city is blaming Donovan for all of their losses and the team continues to lose games they should be winning. If you look at the stats on paper, Philadelphia should win this game, their offense is better and their defense is only slightly worse than Washington's. An interesting thing is that Philly's starting safety Sean Considine is now out for the season and Quintin Mikell will be the new starter. Too bad Washington only runs or this might make a difference. I think momentum/home field advantage plays a huge role in this one and Washington pulls off a victory.
Minnesota - Can't do anything but run (30th in passing) which Green Bay can stop.
Green Bay - Can't do anything but pass, which Minnesota can't stop.
Who would have thought Green Bay would be 8-1 after nine games? Not me, I'll tell you that much.
Did everyone else see Baltimore on Monday? To give you an example of how bad they were: 104 total yards on 51 plays, Steve was 16-31 for 40 yards an interception, he was sacked six times and he fumbled twice. Yeah, they were playing the best defense in football, but they were horrible. Even against the stingy Cincinnati defense I still don't think they can win. They just looked that bad. Baltimore's defense could keep this close, but I think Cincy pulls this one off. FYI: Chris Henry is also back this week.
Let it be known, Lane Kiffin will kick to Devin Hester. Chicago has a knack for staying in games, no matter if it's low scoring or high scoring they always somehow stay in it. I think Hester will make a big enough difference to allow Chicago to win this one.
Both of these defenses are mediocre, both of their offenses are loaded with offensive talent, watch out for a high scoring game. Even though Dallas on paper does have a slightly better defense I think the Giants pass rush is going to be up to the task in The Meadowlands. I give the edge to the home team in a close high scoring game. I can't believe I'm rooting for this loser
I can't believe this line, Detroit just blew out an (at the time) decent team in Denver and now they are underdogs in Arizona. I understand Fitz and Boldin can burn Detroit's secondary, but the Detroit Lions lead the league in takeaways with 24 (+8 differential) and the Cardinals are almost dead last with 9 (-9 differential). The front seven of Detroit has created seven fumbles which counts in as money against the fumble happy QB Kurt Warner, good night Arizona.
Indy is going to get back on track in San Diego. Norv Turner 101: When your up seven points on a Minnesota team that has it's backup quarterback in the game and all they do is run, what should you do? Stack the box and run the shit out of L.T. is what anyone would say. Well Norv proceeded to run a 4-3, occassionally bring in eight into the box, and allow Purple Jesus to rack 296 yards rushing IN THE SECOND HALF. On top of this, L.T. rushed the ball three times in the second half. THREE TIMES? What in gods name is he thinking, bring back Marty.
San Fran, you've lost 6 straight and you've won your two games by a combined 4 points. Good thing Mike Nolan was worried about wearing suits in the off season rather than getting his team ready to play football. Don't get me wrong Seattle isn't good and Alexander is day-to-day but maybe it will help that he's out. Seattle is good enough to win by ten at home against one of the worst teams in the NFL.
Create a playlist at MixPod.com